Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.004972 0.005500 0.006047 0.006655 0.007311 0.007996 0.008765
2024-12-15 0.004271 0.005041 0.005880 0.006856 0.007958 0.009158 0.010561
2024-12-22 0.003792 0.004695 0.005714 0.006941 0.008369 0.009971 0.011895
2024-12-29 0.003492 0.004500 0.005671 0.007120 0.008850 0.010836 0.013273
2025-01-05 0.003270 0.004365 0.005670 0.007324 0.009341 0.011702 0.014652
2025-01-12 0.002910 0.004026 0.005392 0.007163 0.009370 0.012002 0.015347
2025-01-19 0.002663 0.003806 0.005239 0.007136 0.009545 0.012465 0.016234
2025-01-26 0.002419 0.003570 0.005047 0.007042 0.009621 0.012797 0.016953
2025-02-02 0.002236 0.003400 0.004926 0.007025 0.009785 0.013231 0.017799
2025-02-09 0.002064 0.003232 0.004795 0.006985 0.009908 0.013609 0.018572
2025-02-16 0.001985 0.003187 0.004825 0.007154 0.010305 0.014338 0.019802
2025-02-23 0.001818 0.003005 0.004656 0.007044 0.010323 0.014573 0.020393
2025-03-02 0.001698 0.002886 0.004572 0.007050 0.010500 0.015025 0.021287
2025-03-09 0.001656 0.002882 0.004649 0.007282 0.010990 0.015900 0.022750
2025-03-16 0.001575 0.002812 0.004627 0.007370 0.011279 0.016509 0.023870
2025-03-23 0.001530 0.002793 0.004676 0.007558 0.011710 0.017314 0.025260
2025-03-30 0.001494 0.002787 0.004742 0.007772 0.012179 0.018175 0.026740
2025-04-06 0.001363 0.002617 0.004554 0.007603 0.012097 0.018279 0.027191
2025-04-13 0.001276 0.002516 0.004465 0.007574 0.012212 0.018653 0.028012
2025-04-20 0.001180 0.002392 0.004333 0.007476 0.012221 0.018874 0.028623
2025-04-27 0.001109 0.002306 0.004257 0.007459 0.012345 0.019257 0.029461
2025-05-04 0.001038 0.002215 0.004168 0.007416 0.012428 0.019580 0.030217
2025-05-11 0.001015 0.002211 0.004219 0.007594 0.012844 0.020384 0.031659